The start of this week saw the price of gold increase on the European market as the metal edges closer to new highs. From its previous price of $4,299.39 an ounce, gold saw its price hit $4,349.35 an ounce, representing a 1.2% increase.
The precious metal’s upward momentum has been underpinned by the U.S. dollar’s decreasing value against major global currencies.
Investors have now turned their attention to the upcoming employment data, especially the October jobs report that was postponed because of the federal government shutdown. This data is widely expected to offer important insight into the possible direction of 2026’s monetary policy.
The U.S. dollar index slipped by over 0.1% earlier this week, drifting back toward its lowest point in the past two months as the greenback continued to lose ground against a broad basket of foreign currencies. A softer dollar typically boosts the appeal of gold priced in dollars, making bullion more affordable for investors using other currencies.
The dollar has stayed under sustained pressure since last week’s policy meeting held by the Fed, where the tone of the decision was less hawkish than anticipated. This outcome reignited market expectations that the Federal Reserve could continue its cycle to reduce rates of interest into next year.
This comes after the Fed lowered rates of interest by twenty-five basis points this past week, taking the benchmark rate to 3.75%. This represents the lowest level since September 2022 and marks the third straight rate reduction in America.
The policy decision was split rather than unanimous, with three officials voting against the reduction of interest rates while nine supported it. Of the dissenters, one advocated for a deeper 50-basis-point reduction while two favored leaving rates unchanged.
The CME Group’s FedWatch tool indicates a 76% market-implied probability that rates will remain stagnant at the upcoming meeting next month, compared with a 24% chance of a 25-basis-point cut.
Market participants are currently factoring in two reductions in interest over the course of 2026, a more dovish outlook than the Fed’s own projections, which suggest only one 25-basis-point reduction. To refine these expectations, investors are paying close attention to upcoming U.S. economic data releases and remarks from officials at the Fed.
Kelvin Wong, a market analyst at OANDA, notes that gold’s demand is expected to stay strong leading up to the release of U.S. nonfarm payrolls data.
He explains that any indications of softening in the country’s labor market could limit short-term bond yields and place additional downward pressure on the greenback. Such conditions, he adds, would reinforce gold’s upward momentum, potentially driving prices toward the $4,380 and above price range.
As prices of this precious metal continue to climb, there is likely to be heightened interest in gold linked stocks, such as Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. (TSX.V: BAY) (OTCQB: ATBHF), among investors seeking exposure to gold.
NOTE TO INVESTORS: The latest news and updates relating to Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. (TSX.V: BAY) (OTCQB: ATBHF) are available in the company’s newsroom at https://ibn.fm/ATBHF
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